Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2839.939312 3056.157014 3272.947555 3506.300283 3750.062085 3996.875543 4265.357482
2025-11-23 2452.900463 2776.463192 3110.981364 3481.463297 3879.104088 4291.952546 4751.859030
2025-11-30 2255.872472 2649.813719 3066.206285 3536.680647 4051.087867 4594.183169 5208.644043
2025-12-07 2078.211635 2521.925860 3000.026604 3549.481233 4159.587549 4812.599449 5560.706177
2025-12-14 1914.539359 2394.722893 2921.342031 3535.904106 4227.707365 4977.068025 5844.840889
2025-12-21 1743.397675 2247.041489 2809.037761 3474.632734 4233.660256 5065.074599 6037.476344
2025-12-28 1698.499759 2240.141851 2852.549786 3585.904480 4430.249859 5362.691657 6461.107193
2026-01-04 1623.918140 2193.011865 2845.147777 3634.794130 4552.641974 5574.420581 6786.531806
2026-01-11 1533.080220 2121.228460 2804.471588 3641.064085 4622.712924 5724.175508 7039.769227
2026-01-18 1448.940546 2053.046218 2764.199106 3644.319160 4686.328363 5864.208991 7280.051252
2026-01-25 1378.414689 1997.951916 2736.490208 3659.676955 4761.761392 6016.038153 7532.461710
2026-02-01 1296.632156 1924.919570 2683.790937 3642.226035 4796.109408 6118.403082 7726.394900
2026-02-08 1239.874756 1882.264122 2667.669800 3669.022009 4883.850493 6284.617801 7996.916501
2026-02-15 1161.970103 1809.118425 2611.208783 3644.568186 4908.799793 6376.359372 8180.401848
2026-02-22 1127.476175 1790.874543 2621.963423 3701.398376 5030.557282 6581.421541 8496.005980
2026-03-01 1075.732349 1747.347192 2598.801148 3714.578752 5098.187496 6721.567779 8734.880777
2026-03-08 1015.472740 1689.706588 2555.418778 3700.599517 5131.161780 6819.337797 8922.945807
2026-03-15 938.335261 1605.637152 2475.067393 3637.506601 5101.690061 6840.685600 9019.017621
2026-03-22 938.431830 1628.627125 2534.495466 3752.077935 5291.971318 7126.643858 9430.698258
2026-03-29 913.087708 1614.580099 2544.209254 3802.405621 5402.103755 7315.797227 9727.012629
2026-04-05 872.092970 1576.533619 2520.693777 3808.859493 5456.671608 7437.128803 9941.850083
2026-04-12 832.155532 1538.337246 2495.645478 3812.210005 5506.495089 7552.124120 10148.759181
2026-04-19 798.893320 1508.512100 2480.829523 3828.017666 5571.374510 7685.111726 10377.215429